Beat the Forecast

Beat the Forecast is a personal game, not a leaderboard. It takes what the forecast said tonight was worth and checks it against what actually happened on your stands.

Night-only

This game runs at night only. The forecast says what the night is worth, and a verdict is a claim that the forecast was good enough to be graded against — daylight hunting doesn't have that yet (see below).

The verdicts

1. BEAT THE FORECAST — more of your stands got answered than the forecast expected for the stands you sat.
2. CALLED IT — your answers landed inside the range the forecast expected.
3. HOUSE WINS — fewer of your stands got answered than the forecast expected.

None of these are a judgment on your calling. The grade is your answers against the range the forecast expected for the stands you actually sat — not the tier word. On a slow night that range can include zero, and then a quiet night is CALLED IT; run enough stands and even a slow night expects at least one.

What makes a night count

At the end of a hunt, you're asked one thing: every stand logged? That's an attestation, not a guess at a number — it's asking whether every stand you actually sat has a record. Answer yes and the night counts: it gets its verdict and moves your record and your streak. Answer no and the night still shows on your record — how many stands got answered, what the forecast expected, and a note saying why — but it gets no verdict and doesn't count toward your record or your streak. A night with stands you sat but never logged can't be compared fairly against the forecast, because the forecast doesn't know about the hunting the log doesn't have.

No verdict for day hunts — and why

Day hunts log fully and count toward your personal stats. What they don't get is a BEAT THE FORECAST / CALLED IT / HOUSE WINS verdict. A verdict is a claim that the forecast was good enough to grade a hunt against, and for daylight, the forecast isn't there yet — there's a read for daylight, but it hasn't been validated against outcomes the way the night read has. Until it has, a day hunt gets the read, not the verdict.